News

11 December 2007

The gas industry in China is remarkably similar to the electric power sector, in that there are abundant reserves of gas, but much of it is undeveloped and its extraction and distribution require a massive investment, which must inevitably be reflected in tariffs.  Also, although the gas network is being developed there are periods, as is the case today, when supplies need to be rationed.

 

In China, gas prices, like electricity tariffs, are regulated by the government, which aims to keep them low so as to contain inflation.  Similar to the setting of electricity tariffs, gas price regulation is largely an opaque process managed by a number of government agencies.  The well-head price is approved by the National Development Reform Commission (NDRC) and is adjusted annually, based on a basket of competing energy commodities.

 

Pipeline transmission costs, which are a significant component of the end-user tariff, are adjusted every three years.  This long interval between price reviews creates the possibility of relatively large increases. For example, recent reviews in Jiangsu raised the tariff from ¥2.8 per m3 to ¥3.2m3.

 

Local governments regulate the final end-user prices, and these seem to be based on social objectives as well as a consumer’s capacity to pay.  Fertilizer plants are charged lower tariffs because of their importance to the agricultural sector, while industry pays the highest tariff, with the tariff for residential consumers somewhere in the middle.  The highest gas tariffs are in Guangdong, where industrial consumers pay ¥4.0 per m3.

 

In early 2006, seven cities in Henan, in central China, had their gas supplies reduced because demand exceeded supply.  Most of the shortages were the result of inadequate infrastructure, and supplies were secured only through the long-distance road transport of gas.  In the absence of sufficient pipeline capacity, gas supply to Hunan required road transport by gas tankers, which involved hauls of up to 2,000 km.

 

Gas shortages are particularly severe in Shanghai-- in 2005 the city was said to have a deficit of more than 300 million m3.  Two thirds of Shanghai’s 1.87 billion m3 annual gas requirement comes from China’s West-East pipeline and the rest comes from the Pinghu gas field in the East China Sea.

 

The 4,200-km West-East pipeline links the gas-rich Xinjiang Autonomous Region in China’s northwest to Shanghai.  Along the way there are several branch lines, including one that feeds Beijing.  The West-East pipeline, which cost ¥43.5 billion and was completed in 2004, has a design capacity of 12 billion m3.  Work is in hand to increase the line’s capacity to 17 billion m3 by the end of this year.

 

Work on China’s West-East gas pipeline

 

The Shanghai Municipality pays ¥0.84 per m3 for the transport of gas through the West-East pipeline.

 

The shortage of gas has prevented a new 1,170-MW gas-fired power station in Shanghai from operating at full capacity.  The plant’s economics anticipated operating for 3,500 hours per year, and with this estimate being above the break-even rate of 2,500 hours, the investors expected to cover their capital and operating outlays.  However, because of a shortage of gas, the ¥3,300 million station is operating at an annualised rate of around 700 hours.

 

The plant’s owner, Huaneng Power International, is reported to be paying ¥1.4 per m3 for its gas.  With such a low tariff, the supply authority has little incentive to find additional supplies, as it can sell all the available gas to residential and commercial users at rates which are at least twice the tariff it charges Huaneng.

 

The West-East pipeline also supplies some of Beijing’s gas requirements and with preparations for the 2008 Olympics in full swing, the authorities show little interest in diverting gas to Shanghai.  Having won the right to stage the Olympics with plans to hold an environmentally-friendly and green event, Beijing wants to replace the city’s old and heavily-polluting coal-fired power stations with less-polluting gas-fired generators. 

 

Expansion of the West-East pipeline will help to relieve Shanghai’s gas shortages, but the expansion will not be completed until late 2008.  Shanghai’s shortages will also be reduced by a new 1,600-km pipeline from Puguang, in the southwest (in Sichuan Province), which is scheduled for completion in 2008. 

 

The Puguang field has reserves exceeding 200 billion m3 and is expected to have an output of 4 billion m3 by 2008 and 8 billion m3 by 2010.    

 

Last year China and Russia agreed on the construction of two pipelines which would pass either side of Mongolia and have the capacity to deliver 80 billion m3 per year – almost twice the annual volume Russia sells to Germany, its largest European customer.  The western branch is expected to be completed in 2011 while the eastern link is scheduled to begin transmission in 2016. 

 Negotiations on the price of gas have been protracted because the Chinese have not agreed to accept Russian demands after adjusting for transport costs, the price of gas exported to China should be at least comparable with the $250 per 1,000 m3 price it receives for gas supplied to Europe.  For a long period the Chinese held out for a price as low as $100 per 1,000 m3 but recent press reports suggest they now seem to have capitulated to the Russian pricing principle.

In the middle of November, the authorities in Beijing raised the price of natural gas to industrial users by as much as one-third or ¥0.4 per m3.  The price increase varied according to transport costs and in Chongqing the price increased by ¥0.424 per m3 to ¥1.66 per m3, while in nearby Chengdu the increase was ¥0.43 per m3 with consumers paying ¥1.67 per m3

The price increase does not apply to fertilizer plants who are significant consumers of natural gas.  On the other hand motorists have had to pay much more than the average ¥0.4 per m3 increase.

15 January 2007

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